From American in T.O., I found THIS interesting analysis:
"I've been predicting it for years. And ever since I've been thinking about it, I've also thought--contrary to conventional wisdom--that it would be the western provinces, and particularly oil-rich Alberta, that would be the first to leave, rather than Quebec.
. . .
If the confederation comes apart at the seams, which I do genuinely expect within the next few years at most, BC and Alberta would thrive as independent countries. With a loss of revenue, Ontario would be forced into the impossible task of funding its socialism on its own, and I say that's for the best because it's probably the only thing that might force them out of that mindset."
Whoa. Read MORE.